Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH) 12/3/2010

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Northern Illinois is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Miami (OH). Chandler Harnish is averaging 176 passing yards and 1.47 TDs per simulation and Chad Spann is projected for 93 rushing yards and a 79% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Miami (OH) wins, Zac Dysert averages 2.39 TD passes vs 1.02 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.2 TDs to 1.39 interceptions. Thomas Merriweather averages 54 rushing yards and 0.53 rushing TDs when Miami (OH) wins and 44 yards and 0.3 TDs in losses. Northern Illinois has a 66% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIAOH +15

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